The US banking system seems to be heading for a forced shakeout in coming months, as the new budget of Obama has earmarked a massive 750 billion dollars of further aid to the sinking system. The massive amount of new aid, in addition to the already spent 500 + billion dollars, is only indicative of the sorry state of the US banking system. With the US budget deficit already at 12% of the GDP, there is no further room for the government to provide any aid to any industry. Thus if the economic gloom continues, which looks highly probable, at least one or two big US banks could go under before the end of 2009, fear experts.
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Barak Obama is cutting down the tax breaks given to US companies that outsource their jobs out of US. This is expected to force many US companies to cut down on their outsourcing to cheaper destinations like India and other Asian countries, because they cannot afford to lose tax breaks during these tough times. But over the long term, US companies might end up losing their competitive edge due to increased cost structure by using local US talent. We need to see how US comes out of this inefficiency problem over the long term. Even Obama may need some more time to work out long term adjustments.
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The US insurance behemoth the American Insurance Group, which reported over 20 billion dollar loss in the third quarter of 2008 due to the sub-prime crisis related issues, has now asked for an unbelievable 60 billion dollar dole out from the US government. The group is expected to report the worst ever quarterly loss running into over 50 billion US dollars for the 2008 fourth quarter, which will be the highest loss for any company in a quarter ever. Nobody knows as to whether the AIG problem will be over after this 60 billion bailout. The US government cannot afford to allow AIG to go bankrupt. Either way it is loss for the US and its citizens.
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